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Red72
16621.7
183111.1
490617.4
Blue73
615314.7
346736.3
568719.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47710204060801001201407273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#7
21.70.4
17.818.2
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End3.8
blue by 14.6
36.30.6
32.232.8
Auto6.8
Teleop15.9
End13.6
Second
4906
#16
17.40.4
17.417.8
Auto6.7
Teleop5.2
End5.4
blue by 1.9
5687
#11
19.30.6
17.418.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Third
1831
#15
11.10.4
12.312.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End4.5
blue by 3.6
6153
#14
14.70.6
14.314.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsEarned