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Red78
68959.9
581330.0
17223.7
Blue52
490617.4
549412.7
52658.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633302040801001207852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.5
25.827.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.5
End8.5
red by 12.6
4906
#16
17.41.4
16.918.3
Auto6.7
Teleop5.2
End5.4
Second
172
#6
23.71.8
21.923.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End7.5
red by 11.0
5494
#20
12.71.4
11.713.0
Auto2.3
Teleop6.3
End4.2
Third
6895
#21
9.91.5
8.09.5
Auto4.4
Teleop1.6
End3.9
red by 1.2
5265
#23
8.81.4
6.47.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsEarned