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Red79
12530.4
13331.5
68959.9
Blue89
456426.1
581330.0
80239.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78662040601001207989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
31.50.2
31.431.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.5
End8.3
red by 1.5
30.00.3
29.329.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.5
End8.5
Second
125
#10
30.40.2
30.230.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.3
End7.4
red by 4.3
26.10.3
25.425.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.0
End9.6
Third
6895
#21
9.90.2
9.89.9
Auto4.4
Teleop1.6
End3.9
red by 0.2
8023
#24
9.80.3
9.09.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End4.5