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Qual 152022 Summer Heat
Red124
5832.7
13145.6
998921.7
Blue38
264821.6
615327.4
998721.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9649015020012438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#1
45.60.0
45.6→45.6
Auto12.3
Teleop21.8
End11.6
red by 18.2
6153
#12
27.40.0
27.4→27.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Second
58
#4
32.70.0
32.7→32.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
red by 11.1
9987
#18
21.70.0
21.7→21.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End6.7
Third
9989
#14
21.70.0
21.7→21.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End6.7
red by 0.1
2648
#27
21.60.0
21.6→21.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo odds45%Cargo odds
Hangar
89%Hangar odds51%Hangar odds