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Red67
237032.2
568741.9
271322.7
Blue99
632944.0
456433.3
999621.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105890501502002506799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#22
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.2
End13.0
blue by 2.1
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto9.0
Teleop23.6
End11.4
Second
2370
#15
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End11.4
blue by 1.1
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.4
End11.9
Third
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End3.2
red by 1.1
9996
#17
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo odds88%Cargo odds
Hangar
94%Hangar odds93%Hangar odds