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Red103
404122.6
998721.7
13145.6
Blue25
490936.9
999621.7
52658.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7953010015020010325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#1
45.60.0
45.645.6
Auto12.3
Teleop21.8
End11.6
red by 8.7
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End11.4
Second
4041
#16
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End6.9
red by 0.9
9996
#17
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End6.7
Third
9987
#18
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End6.7
red by 13.3
5265
#24
8.40.0
8.48.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo odds29%Cargo odds
Hangar
83%Hangar odds37%Hangar odds