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Red125
271322.7
346743.0
404122.6
Blue135
31933.1
13145.6
447311.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9497406080120140160125135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End13.2
blue by 2.7
131
#1
45.60.0
45.645.6
Auto12.3
Teleop21.8
End11.6
Second
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End3.2
blue by 10.4
319
#5
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End12.5
Third
4041
#16
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End6.9
red by 10.9
4473
#23
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo odds87%Cargo odds
Hangar
94%Hangar odds88%Hangar odds