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Red61
264821.6
237032.2
107124.6
Blue63
632839.2
568741.9
52658.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81980501502006163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#15
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End11.4
blue by 9.7
5687
#22
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.2
End13.0
Second
1071
#25
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End7.7
blue by 14.5
6328
#11
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto12.1
Teleop17.6
End9.6
Third
2648
#27
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
red by 13.2
5265
#24
8.40.0
8.48.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo odds71%Cargo odds
Hangar
74%Hangar odds90%Hangar odds