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Red31
568741.9
17231.6
404122.6
Blue44
999221.7
998921.7
615327.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113330501001503144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#22
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.2
End13.0
red by 14.5
6153
#12
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Second
172
#26
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End10.6
red by 10.0
9989
#14
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End6.7
Third
4041
#16
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End6.9
red by 0.9
9992
#13
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo odds28%Cargo odds
Hangar
97%Hangar odds47%Hangar odds