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Red119
86231.3
22648.0
283226.7
Blue74
168452.9
496723.0
262019.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10010640608012014011974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
48.01.4
40.742.0
Auto8.2
Teleop28.1
End11.7
blue by 4.9
52.92.4
46.544.1
Auto12.0
Teleop30.5
End10.4
Second
862
#5
31.31.4
31.232.6
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End4.1
red by 8.3
4967
#12
23.02.4
24.722.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End7.8
Third
26.71.4
22.824.1
Auto5.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 7.3
19.42.4
26.123.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
83%Cargo oddsEarned70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsMissed