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Red66
283226.7
262019.4
549819.1
Blue54
652812.3
509021.4
557711.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7637020601001201406654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.3
25.224.9
Auto5.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 5.3
5090
#16
21.41.0
19.020.0
Auto8.2
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Second
19.40.3
23.323.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End7.9
red by 7.1
6528
#19
12.31.0
12.013.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Third
19.10.3
17.517.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.2
End10.9
red by 7.4
5577
#18
11.71.0
8.19.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned4%Hangar oddsEarned