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Red49
496723.0
686115.0
317527.4
Blue80
24711.3
50345.7
262019.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72842040601001201404980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#11
27.41.6
28.827.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End2.9
blue by 18.3
503
#1
45.70.6
41.440.9
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.0
Second
4967
#12
23.01.6
24.823.2
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End7.8
red by 3.6
19.40.6
23.022.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End7.9
Third
6861
#17
15.01.6
14.913.3
Auto6.0
Teleop3.8
End5.2
red by 3.7
247
#15
11.30.6
12.011.4
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed83%Hangar oddsMissed