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Red66
317527.4
509021.4
691420.3
Blue93
360414.9
168452.9
24711.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6482020401001201406693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#11
27.40.3
27.227.5
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End2.9
blue by 25.5
52.91.2
46.747.9
Auto12.0
Teleop30.5
End10.4
Second
5090
#16
21.40.3
20.420.7
Auto8.2
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 6.6
3604
#20
14.91.2
16.217.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End6.1
Third
6914
#13
20.30.3
14.214.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End12.9
red by 9.0
247
#15
11.31.2
11.412.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned56%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned