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Qual 382022 Big Bang!
Red76
413033.1
86231.3
283226.7
Blue54
686115.0
317527.4
24711.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104510204060801201401607654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#4
33.11.3
33.6→32.3
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End11.2
red by 5.7
3175
#11
27.40.0
27.5→27.5
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End2.9
Second
862
#5
31.31.3
33.5→32.3
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End4.1
red by 16.3
6861
#17
15.00.0
13.9→13.9
Auto6.0
Teleop3.8
End5.2
Third
2832
#7
26.71.3
23.7→22.4
Auto5.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 15.4
247
#15
11.30.0
12.7→12.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed