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Qual 52022 Big Bang!
Red57
86231.3
317527.4
557711.7
Blue53
2809.5
496723.0
360414.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855501001505753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#5
31.31.3
33.6→32.4
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End4.1
red by 8.3
4967
#12
23.00.4
25.9→25.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End7.8
Second
3175
#11
27.41.3
35.6→34.4
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End2.9
red by 12.6
3604
#20
14.90.4
24.7→24.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End6.1
Third
5577
#18
11.71.3
6.6→5.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End5.3
red by 2.3
280
#14
9.50.4
4.5→4.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned