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Semifinal 12022 Big Bang!
Red108
549819.1
168452.9
283226.7
Blue104
691420.3
50345.7
608125.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039150150108104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#2
52.90.3
51.8→52.0
Auto12.0
Teleop30.5
End10.4
red by 7.2
503
#1
45.70.4
44.1→44.5
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.0
Second
2832
#7
26.70.3
25.5→25.8
Auto5.9
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 1.4
6081
#10
25.30.4
23.7→24.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End3.5
Third
5498
#9
19.10.3
18.2→18.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.2
End10.9
blue by 1.2
6914
#13
20.30.4
18.8→19.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End12.9