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Semifinal 22022 Big Bang!
Red107
691420.3
50345.7
608125.3
Blue88
496723.0
686115.0
86231.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98705015010788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#1
45.70.3
44.5→44.9
Auto13.3
Teleop22.4
End10.0
red by 14.4
862
#5
31.30.1
31.3→31.3
Auto9.3
Teleop18.0
End4.1
Second
6081
#10
25.30.3
24.1→24.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End3.5
red by 2.3
4967
#12
23.00.1
22.9→23.0
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End7.8
Third
6914
#13
20.30.3
19.1→19.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End12.9
red by 5.3
6861
#17
15.00.1
15.0→15.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.8
End5.2