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Red100
505029.8
24529.6
717413.5
Blue71
634416.5
615221.4
661816.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815220406010012010071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.5
29.530.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End11.8
red by 8.4
21.40.2
20.921.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Second
245
#3
29.60.5
29.329.8
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End11.1
red by 13.0
6344
#30
16.50.2
16.016.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End8.3
Third
7174
#19
13.50.5
13.213.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
blue by 2.9
6618
#24
16.50.2
15.916.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9