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Red118
283430.7
436242.6
24016.6
Blue25
872815.7
81249.7
3138.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82220406010012014011825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.63.0
29.932.8
Auto14.5
Teleop15.5
End12.6
red by 26.8
8728
#14
15.70.2
10.610.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End5.8
Second
30.73.0
25.328.3
Auto10.3
Teleop15.4
End5.0
red by 21.0
8124
#37
9.71.2
6.67.8
Auto5.2
Teleop0.7
End3.8
Third
240
#17
16.63.3
14.317.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End6.0
red by 7.7
313
#34
8.90.4
9.59.1
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed