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Red79
668.4
766029.5
283430.7
Blue96
543617.3
3336.6
83021.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6970506080907996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.7
29.530.1
Auto10.3
Teleop15.4
End5.0
blue by 5.9
33
#4
36.61.2
28.029.2
Auto12.1
Teleop16.2
End8.3
Second
7660
#15
29.50.7
25.125.8
Auto9.7
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 7.9
830
#7
21.61.2
19.921.2
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Third
66
#35
8.41.1
10.511.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.4
blue by 8.9
5436
#13
17.31.2
17.518.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned