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Red45
46916.1
661816.5
722414.0
Blue65
505029.8
872815.7
118923.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4354203050607080904565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#24
16.50.4
18.919.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
blue by 13.4
29.81.7
20.722.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End11.8
Second
469
#10
16.10.4
11.812.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End6.7
blue by 7.1
1189
#22
23.21.7
15.517.2
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End2.8
Third
7224
#36
14.00.2
11.111.3
Auto6.3
Teleop4.2
End3.5
blue by 1.7
8728
#14
15.71.0
13.214.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsEarned