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Red50
661512.3
766029.5
125014.8
Blue78
717413.5
615221.4
283430.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5465304050607080901005078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#15
29.50.2
25.825.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.7
End2.1
blue by 1.2
30.71.2
30.131.4
Auto10.3
Teleop15.4
End5.0
Second
1250
#20
14.80.3
14.013.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End3.3
blue by 6.6
21.41.2
16.417.6
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Third
6615
#21
12.30.3
12.512.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End3.3
blue by 1.2
7174
#19
13.51.2
12.814.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsMissed