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Red33
84275.9
872815.7
661816.5
Blue72
3138.9
81517.0
3336.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416120801003372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#24
16.50.9
19.318.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
blue by 20.2
33
#4
36.61.2
29.230.4
Auto12.1
Teleop16.2
End8.3
Second
8728
#14
15.70.5
14.313.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End5.8
blue by 1.3
815
#18
17.01.2
15.216.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End2.5
Third
8427
#39
5.90.5
7.16.6
Auto3.1
Teleop1.5
End1.3
blue by 3.0
313
#34
8.91.9
10.212.1
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed46%Hangar oddsEarned