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Red58
634416.5
24016.6
721128.7
Blue64
170130.6
605711.6
83021.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68662040801001201405864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.4
27.927.5
Auto6.6
Teleop10.5
End11.6
blue by 1.9
30.60.1
29.829.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.2
End4.7
Second
240
#17
16.60.4
18.918.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End6.0
blue by 5.0
830
#7
21.60.1
20.821.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Third
6344
#30
16.50.4
16.616.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End8.3
red by 4.9
6057
#25
11.60.1
11.411.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsEarned