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Red39
365622.2
851912.1
3138.9
Blue46
777212.5
661512.3
543617.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484402060801001203946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#16
22.20.6
20.720.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End3.4
red by 5.0
5436
#13
17.30.0
17.917.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.9
End6.7
Second
8519
#31
12.10.4
11.711.3
Auto6.8
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 0.4
7772
#32
12.50.0
11.311.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Third
313
#34
8.90.6
12.111.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End2.4
blue by 3.5
6615
#21
12.30.0
12.812.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
34%Hangar oddsMissed57%Hangar oddsEarned