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Red37
24016.6
483811.9
262018.3
Blue54
24529.6
661816.5
717413.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4670204060801003754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2620
#26
18.30.9
15.114.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End5.1
blue by 11.2
245
#3
29.61.1
30.429.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End11.1
Second
240
#17
16.60.6
18.517.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End6.0
red by 0.1
6618
#24
16.51.7
18.416.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
Third
4838
#33
11.90.9
12.211.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End2.7
blue by 1.7
7174
#19
13.51.1
13.512.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed40%Hangar oddsEarned