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Red48
605711.6
213719.4
46916.1
Blue30
668.4
3138.9
473718.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060801004830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#12
19.40.4
17.718.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End5.2
red by 1.3
4737
#28
18.00.5
17.216.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End3.3
Second
469
#10
16.10.5
13.213.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.9
End6.7
red by 7.2
313
#34
8.90.7
10.710.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Third
6057
#25
11.60.4
11.712.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.7
End4.5
red by 3.2
66
#35
8.40.7
9.89.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed