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Red54
766029.5
365622.2
84275.9
Blue54
615221.4
872815.7
24016.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4444404246485052545454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7660
#15
29.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 8.1
21.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Second
3656
#16
22.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End3.4
red by 5.7
240
#17
16.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.3
End6.0
Third
8427
#39
5.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.5
End1.3
blue by 9.8
8728
#14
15.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned