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Red36
84275.9
168429.1
668.4
Blue40
83021.6
717413.5
483811.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848304060703640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#11
29.10.6
28.527.9
Auto6.1
Teleop14.3
End8.6
red by 7.5
830
#7
21.60.3
21.020.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Second
66
#35
8.40.8
9.68.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.4
blue by 5.1
7174
#19
13.50.3
12.211.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Third
8427
#39
5.90.6
7.36.6
Auto3.1
Teleop1.5
End1.3
blue by 6.0
4838
#33
11.90.4
11.611.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed