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Red81
436242.6
213719.4
661512.3
Blue49
634416.5
661816.5
365622.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795620401001208149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.7
40.441.0
Auto14.5
Teleop15.5
End12.6
red by 20.3
3656
#16
22.20.6
23.723.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End3.4
Second
2137
#12
19.40.7
19.119.8
Auto6.5
Teleop7.6
End5.2
red by 2.8
6344
#30
16.50.5
15.815.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.0
End8.3
Third
6615
#21
12.30.7
11.612.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End3.3
blue by 4.1
6618
#24
16.50.5
16.415.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsMissed