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Red43
118923.2
661512.3
12311.8
Blue10
3336.6
668.4
66163.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33500204060804310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#22
23.21.1
13.714.7
Auto8.7
Teleop11.7
End2.8
blue by 13.4
33
#4
36.62.3
28.526.2
Auto12.1
Teleop16.2
End8.3
Second
6615
#21
12.31.1
10.311.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End3.3
red by 3.9
66
#35
8.43.8
11.17.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End2.4
Third
123
#29
11.80.6
9.410.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End3.5
red by 8.6
6616
#38
3.12.3
5.02.7
Auto2.3
Teleop0.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed