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Red106
3336.6
436242.6
102519.3
Blue65
766029.5
721128.7
262018.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10978406010012014016018010665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.1
42.442.5
Auto14.5
Teleop15.5
End12.6
red by 13.1
7660
#15
29.50.4
29.829.4
Auto9.7
Teleop17.7
End2.1
Second
33
#4
36.60.1
36.436.5
Auto12.1
Teleop16.2
End8.3
red by 7.9
28.70.4
29.028.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.5
End11.6
Third
1025
#27
19.30.1
19.219.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.6
End0.9
red by 0.9
2620
#26
18.30.4
18.618.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End5.1