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Red116
571232.1
353928.3
30232.4
Blue87
48103.3
3340.6
364120.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1046105015011687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#3
32.40.2
32.232.4
Auto8.5
Teleop17.3
End6.6
blue by 8.2
33
#7
40.60.4
40.140.5
Auto11.7
Teleop19.8
End9.0
Second
32.10.2
31.932.1
Auto6.7
Teleop15.8
End9.7
red by 11.7
3641
#21
20.40.4
19.920.3
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
3539
#17
28.30.2
28.428.6
Auto10.4
Teleop14.0
End3.9
red by 24.9
4810
#29
3.30.4
2.93.3
Auto4.6
Teleop-1.7
End0.5