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Red80
3340.6
543616.7
20125.0
Blue59
5122.1
22626.9
87289.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935701508059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#7
40.60.2
40.240.1
Auto11.7
Teleop19.8
End9.0
red by 13.7
226
#10
26.90.1
25.625.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.3
End9.5
Second
201
#13
25.00.2
25.425.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.5
End4.4
red by 2.9
51
#5
22.10.1
22.923.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End6.1
Third
5436
#16
16.70.2
17.116.9
Auto6.2
Teleop3.2
End7.3
red by 7.2
8728
#31
9.50.1
9.59.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
78%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned