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Red67
341425.2
5122.1
91028.2
Blue55
233733.7
283211.8
87289.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96610501506755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#11
28.21.8
32.130.3
Auto9.6
Teleop11.2
End7.3
blue by 5.5
33.70.5
36.135.6
Auto13.0
Teleop13.3
End7.4
Second
25.21.8
29.728.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.0
End4.2
red by 13.4
2832
#23
11.80.5
12.311.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End1.5
Third
51
#5
22.11.8
23.922.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End6.1
red by 12.5
8728
#31
9.50.5
13.413.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsMissed55%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsMissed