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Red54
283420.8
22628.6
48543.6
Blue42
549811.3
8159.3
509015.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5536020801001205442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
28.60.1
27.327.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End12.0
red by 13.2
5090
#15
15.30.1
15.415.4
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Second
20.80.1
19.519.6
Auto8.9
Teleop7.4
End4.4
red by 9.5
5498
#13
11.30.1
11.411.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.6
Third
4854
#14
3.60.1
2.32.4
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
blue by 5.8
815
#11
9.30.1
9.49.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9