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Red40
691412.8
283218.0
353615.3
Blue68
71749.3
360411.3
817912.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54290204060801001204068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.2
18.518.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 6.0
8179
#16
12.10.7
11.312.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End5.2
Second
3536
#18
15.30.2
15.715.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End5.2
red by 4.0
11.30.7
10.511.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Third
12.80.2
13.213.0
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.7
End11.7
red by 3.5
7174
#19
9.30.7
8.69.3
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End2.3