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Red26
360411.3
691412.8
353615.3
Blue56
283420.8
546016.1
549811.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57552040802656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#18
15.31.8
25.023.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End5.2
blue by 5.5
20.80.3
20.620.9
Auto8.9
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Second
12.81.8
16.414.6
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.7
End11.7
blue by 3.3
5460
#12
16.10.3
18.819.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Third
11.31.8
11.810.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Level
5498
#13
11.30.3
12.412.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed35%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsMissed