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Red72
71749.3
360411.3
283420.8
Blue38
43901.3
509015.3
546016.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43350102030506070807238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.81.1
20.922.0
Auto8.9
Teleop7.4
End4.4
red by 4.7
5460
#12
16.10.3
19.119.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Second
11.31.1
10.011.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.5
blue by 4.0
5090
#15
15.30.3
15.716.0
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
Third
7174
#19
9.31.1
8.39.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End2.3
red by 8.1
4390
#21
1.30.3
-0.9-0.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed