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Red41
661814.8
817912.1
509015.3
Blue39
148113.4
5489.7
546016.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453702060801004139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#15
15.30.0
14.814.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
blue by 0.8
5460
#12
16.10.2
15.716.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Second
6618
#10
14.80.0
15.015.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End7.9
red by 1.4
13.40.2
13.213.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End4.7
Third
8179
#16
12.10.0
11.211.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End5.2
red by 2.3
548
#17
9.70.2
6.56.7
Auto5.9
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed