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Red60
360411.3
8159.3
505039.9
Blue42
353615.3
48543.6
148113.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754902040601001201406042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.5
37.637.1
Auto9.3
Teleop17.6
End13.0
red by 24.6
3536
#18
15.31.3
27.426.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End5.2
Second
11.30.5
14.514.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End2.5
blue by 2.1
13.41.3
17.416.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End4.7
Third
815
#11
9.30.5
14.914.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 5.8
4854
#14
3.61.3
4.63.3
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsMissed