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Red70
283420.8
22628.6
48543.6
Blue33
691412.8
283218.0
353615.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55500204060807033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
28.60.4
27.828.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.5
End12.0
red by 10.5
18.00.3
18.318.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Second
20.80.4
20.020.4
Auto8.9
Teleop7.4
End4.4
red by 5.5
3536
#18
15.30.3
15.615.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End5.2
Third
4854
#14
3.60.4
2.83.2
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End1.2
blue by 9.2
12.80.3
13.112.8
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.7
End11.7