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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119135050100150200250107129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.2
43.943.7
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
blue by 6.9
50.60.0
50.650.6
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
Second
34.70.2
34.934.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End9.1
blue by 6.5
5460
#15
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
Third
2611
#12
34.30.2
34.534.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
red by 1.6
3322
#18
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2