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Red129
171843.7
205434.7
261134.3
Blue110
353441.8
7431.9
20131.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221106080100140160180129110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.3
43.944.2
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 1.8
41.80.1
41.641.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End12.8
Second
34.70.3
34.935.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End9.1
red by 2.8
74
#7
31.90.1
31.731.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.7
End10.4
Third
2611
#12
34.30.3
34.534.9
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
red by 2.5
201
#26
31.80.1
31.531.7
Auto7.1
Teleop15.9
End8.7