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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9212150100150119121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.9
40.342.3
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
blue by 3.6
5114
#13
47.30.0
53.253.1
Auto14.8
Teleop23.6
End8.9
Second
3322
#18
32.71.9
30.632.5
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
blue by 0.4
33.10.0
34.934.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Third
7244
#31
24.61.9
19.020.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End5.7
red by 2.9
2405
#25
21.70.0
21.521.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned99%Hangar oddsEarned