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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6714105010020096123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#15
41.21.1
40.241.2
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
blue by 9.3
50.60.0
52.752.7
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
Second
6088
#37
18.61.1
18.519.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End6.2
blue by 25.0
43.70.0
45.045.1
Auto12.0
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Third
6642
#35
15.61.1
13.514.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.9
blue by 13.8
5505
#17
29.40.0
25.125.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned