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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886120408010012013945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.73.4
27.430.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.5
End9.1
red by 0.4
2611
#12
34.31.3
29.728.4
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
Second
2834
#21
32.73.4
30.734.2
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
red by 8.1
7244
#31
24.61.3
17.816.5
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End5.7
Third
5660
#16
26.03.4
21.124.5
Auto8.1
Teleop11.2
End6.7
red by 10.3
6642
#35
15.61.3
13.512.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
72%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsMissed