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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961094060801201401601807058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#12
34.31.4
36.334.9
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
red by 2.5
201
#26
31.83.1
34.631.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.9
End8.7
Second
33.11.4
35.033.6
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End8.7
red by 1.7
862
#22
31.43.1
33.930.8
Auto6.6
Teleop19.3
End5.6
Third
3618
#19
19.01.4
20.318.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
blue by 8.7
245
#24
27.73.1
32.129.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsMissed94%Hangar oddsMissed