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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008840608012014016011168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#14
41.11.0
39.740.7
Auto9.4
Teleop21.2
End10.6
red by 8.4
3322
#18
32.71.4
35.133.7
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2
Second
2611
#12
34.31.0
34.935.9
Auto10.0
Teleop13.7
End10.6
red by 1.6
2834
#21
32.71.4
34.533.2
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Third
5980
#28
17.91.0
17.618.6
Auto6.7
Teleop5.2
End6.0
red by 2.3
6642
#35
15.61.4
14.713.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsMissed