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Red85
283432.7
436246.6
423722.0
Blue133
546041.2
353850.6
332232.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051415020085133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#10
46.60.6
47.246.6
Auto14.2
Teleop22.5
End9.9
blue by 3.9
50.60.2
51.751.4
Auto9.8
Teleop31.1
End9.7
Second
2834
#21
32.70.6
33.232.7
Auto11.3
Teleop18.2
End3.2
blue by 8.6
5460
#15
41.20.2
42.342.1
Auto10.2
Teleop22.9
End8.1
Third
4237
#23
22.00.6
22.622.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.6
End7.4
blue by 10.7
3322
#18
32.70.2
33.833.5
Auto7.7
Teleop18.7
End6.2